J1 League - 2nd Phase Round 7

Matsumoto Yamaga vs Nagoya Grampus analysis

Matsumoto Yamaga Nagoya Grampus
40 ELO 51
3.5% Tilt -2.5%
2411º General ELO ranking 419º
43º Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
28.9%
Matsumoto Yamaga
24.1%
Draw
47%
Nagoya Grampus

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
Matsumoto Yamaga
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
47%
Win probability
Nagoya Grampus
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Matsumoto Yamaga
-13%
-4%
Nagoya Grampus

ELO progression

Matsumoto Yamaga
Nagoya Grampus
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Matsumoto Yamaga
Matsumoto Yamaga
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Aug. 2015
VEG
Vegalta Sendai
3 - 1
Matsumoto Yamaga
MAT
68%
19%
13%
43 48 5 0
29 Jul. 2015
MAT
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 - 3
Kawasaki Frontale
KAW
24%
24%
53%
45 56 11 -2
25 Jul. 2015
VEN
Ventforet Kofu
0 - 1
Matsumoto Yamaga
MAT
56%
24%
20%
44 51 7 +1
19 Jul. 2015
MAT
Matsumoto Yamaga
2 - 0
Kashima Antlers
KAA
20%
23%
57%
43 58 15 +1
15 Jul. 2015
SAN
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
6 - 0
Matsumoto Yamaga
MAT
73%
18%
9%
45 60 15 -2

Matches

Nagoya Grampus
Nagoya Grampus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Aug. 2015
NAG
Nagoya Grampus
0 - 3
Yokohama F. Marinos
YFM
60%
23%
18%
53 51 2 0
29 Jul. 2015
MON
Montedio Yamagata
0 - 3
Nagoya Grampus
NAG
27%
24%
49%
52 43 9 +1
25 Jul. 2015
NAG
Nagoya Grampus
2 - 1
Urawa Reds
URA
35%
25%
40%
52 58 6 0
19 Jul. 2015
SHI
Shimizu S-Pulse
2 - 2
Nagoya Grampus
NAG
36%
24%
40%
54 46 8 -2
15 Jul. 2015
NAG
Nagoya Grampus
3 - 2
Gamba Osaka
GAM
21%
23%
56%
53 64 11 +1