Matonense vs São Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
38.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
MAT
0 - 3
RIO
21%
21%
58%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
COM
5 - 0
MAT
52%
24%
23%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
FER
5 - 0
MAT
66%
21%
13%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 3
BAT
37%
24%
39%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 3
IND
36%
25%
40%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 2
FER
18%
24%
58%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
RIO
3 - 0
SAO
52%
26%
23%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 1
COM
42%
27%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
BAT
1 - 1
SAO
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
IND
2 - 3
SAO
51%
26%
23%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |