Paulista B Primera Fase. Jor. 3

Matonense vs Grêmio Sãocarlense analysis

Matonense Grêmio Sãocarlense
33 ELO 15
1.1% Tilt -0.3%
7633º General ELO ranking 5229º
324º Country ELO ranking 210º
ELO win probability
76.3%
Matonense
14.2%
Draw
9.5%
Grêmio Sãocarlense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
Matonense
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
9.5%
Win probability
Grêmio Sãocarlense
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO progression

Matonense
Grêmio Sãocarlense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Matonense
Matonense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2019
BEB
Inter de Bebedouro
3 - 2
Matonense
MAT
42%
25%
33%
34 34 0 0
25 Mar. 2018
CAP
Capivariano
4 - 0
Matonense
MAT
79%
14%
7%
35 56 21 -1
21 Mar. 2018
MAT
Matonense
2 - 4
Rio Branco SP
RIO
39%
26%
35%
36 41 5 -1
17 Mar. 2018
VEL
Velo Clube
3 - 1
Matonense
MAT
55%
25%
21%
37 45 8 -1
11 Mar. 2018
MAT
Matonense
1 - 3
Atibaia
ATI
28%
25%
48%
38 48 10 -1

Matches

Grêmio Sãocarlense
Grêmio Sãocarlense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Apr. 2019
GDS
Grêmio Sãocarlense
2 - 2
Catanduva
CAT
23%
20%
57%
15 22 7 0
07 Apr. 2019
FRA
Francana
3 - 0
Grêmio Sãocarlense
GDS
71%
18%
12%
15 36 21 0
08 Jul. 2018
COM
Comercial
0 - 0
Grêmio Sãocarlense
GDS
79%
14%
6%
15 50 35 0
01 Jul. 2018
GDS
Grêmio Sãocarlense
1 - 4
Independente SP
IND
14%
18%
69%
16 37 21 -1
24 Jun. 2018
BFC
Brasilis
2 - 1
Grêmio Sãocarlense
GDS
42%
22%
37%
16 16 0 0
X