Mathare United vs AFC Leopards analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mathare United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
ZOK
0 - 0
MAT
34%
29%
38%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2019 |
MAT
1 - 4
SOF
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2019 |
SON
1 - 1
MAT
31%
29%
40%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
NAK
2 - 1
MAT
28%
27%
45%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
KAS
0 - 0
MAT
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Leopards
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
AFC
0 - 1
ULI
32%
30%
39%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
GOR
2 - 0
AFC
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
AFC
1 - 2
NAK
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
BAN
4 - 1
AFC
53%
26%
21%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
ZOK
1 - 0
AFC
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |