Mathare United vs AFC Leopards analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
24.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mathare United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
WES
1 - 0
MAT
36%
30%
34%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 0
ULI
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2016 |
POS
0 - 0
MAT
36%
29%
35%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
MAT
0 - 2
GOR
36%
29%
36%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
BAN
0 - 1
MAT
41%
29%
30%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Leopards
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
AFC
4 - 0
THI
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
CHE
1 - 0
AFC
30%
31%
40%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2016 |
AFC
2 - 2
TUS
31%
28%
41%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
THI
2 - 1
AFC
36%
28%
35%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
MUH
1 - 0
AFC
39%
29%
32%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |