Matera vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
11.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
ASM
2 - 2
MAT
27%
27%
46%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
MAT
0 - 0
LEC
21%
25%
54%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
MAT
21%
26%
54%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
MAT
0 - 0
JUS
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
FCC
0 - 1
MAT
46%
27%
26%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
PAG
1 - 2
FCC
20%
26%
55%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
ASM
1 - 2
PAG
56%
24%
19%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
PAG
2 - 2
ISC
25%
26%
48%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 0
PAG
72%
19%
9%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
PAG
0 - 0
NUO
16%
24%
60%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |