Matera vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
12%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
AKR
1 - 0
MAT
25%
25%
51%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
MAT
2 - 0
REG
68%
20%
13%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
ANC
2 - 2
MAT
13%
18%
69%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
FCC
3 - 1
MAT
18%
25%
57%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
MAT
1 - 0
ANC
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
MES
3 - 1
TAR
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 0
MES
62%
23%
15%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
MES
1 - 0
MON
43%
26%
32%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
MES
1 - 2
CAT
24%
28%
49%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
PAG
2 - 0
MES
46%
27%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |