Matera vs Lupa Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
22.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
FCC
1 - 2
MAT
67%
21%
12%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
MES
0 - 5
MAT
41%
26%
33%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
MAT
0 - 0
LEC
9%
20%
72%
|
47 | 72 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
JUS
1 - 1
MAT
72%
17%
10%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
MAT
1 - 1
PAG
43%
27%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lupa Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
LRO
1 - 1
BEN
13%
22%
66%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
NUO
1 - 2
LRO
40%
26%
35%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
LRO
1 - 0
PAG
38%
27%
35%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
MES
2 - 2
LRO
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
LRO
2 - 1
LEC
12%
23%
66%
|
40 | 71 | 31 | +2 |