Matelica Calcio vs Recanatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
14.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matelica Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
CAM
1 - 0
MAT
34%
25%
41%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
CHI
3 - 0
MAT
36%
24%
40%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
MAT
0 - 0
VIS
75%
16%
9%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
FER
3 - 1
MAT
33%
27%
40%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
AMI
0 - 0
MAT
23%
23%
54%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
REC
1 - 2
TER
44%
24%
32%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
VIS
2 - 0
REC
35%
28%
37%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
REC
2 - 1
FCC
61%
24%
16%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CAM
1 - 0
REC
52%
25%
23%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
REC
1 - 1
FAN
27%
27%
46%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |