Matelica Calcio vs Jesina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matelica Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ALF
2 - 3
MAT
18%
21%
62%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
MAT
0 - 1
FOL
39%
25%
36%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
CAM
2 - 1
MAT
52%
25%
23%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
MAT
2 - 1
OLY
52%
24%
24%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
FAN
3 - 1
MAT
54%
25%
21%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Jesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
JES
2 - 0
REC
42%
26%
32%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
JES
1 - 1
REC
41%
26%
33%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
JES
0 - 1
VNZ
11%
21%
68%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CHI
4 - 0
JES
54%
24%
22%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
JES
4 - 2
AVE
45%
24%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |