Matelica Calcio vs Jesina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
14.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matelica Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
VIS
2 - 0
MAT
32%
26%
42%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
MAT
1 - 1
AMI
74%
16%
10%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Jesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
JES
0 - 0
FCC
67%
20%
13%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CIV
3 - 0
JES
40%
27%
33%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
JES
3 - 1
VIS
32%
25%
44%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +3 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
MAC
2 - 1
JES
60%
22%
18%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
OLY
1 - 2
JES
66%
20%
15%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |