Matelica Calcio vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matelica Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
CES
2 - 2
MAT
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
MAT
4 - 1
PAD
16%
24%
60%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
MAT
5 - 1
LEG
66%
19%
14%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
RAV
0 - 1
MAT
33%
27%
41%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
MAT
1 - 0
VIR
32%
26%
42%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
FER
2 - 2
TRI
25%
28%
48%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
ARZ
1 - 0
FER
38%
28%
35%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
FAN
1 - 1
FER
34%
30%
37%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
FER
2 - 1
CES
21%
26%
53%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 0
FER
60%
23%
16%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |