Matelica Calcio vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
16.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matelica Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 0
MAT
20%
22%
58%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
MAT
3 - 0
CHI
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
AVE
3 - 1
MAT
28%
23%
50%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 3
SSS
31%
24%
45%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -2 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
MAT
41%
23%
36%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
FER
0 - 1
FAN
37%
23%
40%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
MON
0 - 3
FER
44%
23%
33%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
FER
0 - 1
VIS
59%
21%
20%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -2 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
FER
26%
24%
51%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
FER
0 - 1
CAM
51%
23%
26%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |