Matelica Calcio vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.3%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
67.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
17.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
15.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matelica Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
PIN
2 - 0
MAT
30%
27%
43%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
MAT
4 - 2
ASD
78%
13%
8%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
MAT
1 - 0
CAS
73%
17%
10%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
ASS
1 - 0
MAT
64%
22%
14%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
MAT
2 - 0
PIN
48%
23%
29%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CES
2 - 0
OLY
83%
13%
4%
|
65 | 27 | 38 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
AVE
1 - 2
CES
7%
20%
72%
|
66 | 34 | 32 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2018 |
CES
1 - 0
USC
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
PAL
0 - 0
CES
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
CES
2 - 1
PAR
44%
27%
30%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |