Maruinense vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
60.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maruinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
ATG
1 - 2
MAR
53%
21%
26%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
MAR
2 - 0
OSE
35%
24%
42%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
OSE
1 - 0
MAR
55%
21%
24%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 0
BOQ
53%
21%
26%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
BOQ
1 - 2
MAR
38%
23%
40%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2020 |
SER
0 - 0
CON
17%
22%
61%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2020 |
AFP
0 - 1
SER
30%
24%
47%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
ITA
1 - 4
SER
38%
27%
35%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2020 |
SER
2 - 1
ITA
44%
26%
30%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Jul. 2020 |
CON
2 - 2
SER
76%
17%
8%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |