Maruinense vs Guarany SE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
31.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maruinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2005 |
BOC
5 - 1
MAR
64%
19%
17%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 0
SER
9%
16%
75%
|
21 | 62 | 41 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
MAR
0 - 1
OSE
40%
24%
36%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2005 |
LAG
4 - 2
MAR
73%
16%
11%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
MAR
0 - 3
ITA
16%
20%
64%
|
22 | 51 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Guarany SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2005 |
GUA
2 - 2
ITA
16%
20%
64%
|
28 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
AME
3 - 1
GUA
64%
19%
16%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
GUA
0 - 1
CON
14%
21%
65%
|
29 | 60 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2005 |
RFC
1 - 1
GUA
45%
23%
32%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
GUA
2 - 2
LAG
50%
23%
27%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |