Martigny vs Bavois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Martigny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 0
YOU
45%
24%
31%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
BUL
1 - 2
MAR
52%
22%
26%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
MAR
4 - 0
GRA
50%
23%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
UGS
2 - 2
MAR
38%
24%
38%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 1
NAT
49%
24%
28%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Bavois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
BAV
0 - 2
BUL
59%
21%
20%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
GRA
2 - 2
BAV
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
BAV
2 - 3
UGS
68%
18%
14%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
NAT
1 - 0
BAV
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
BAV
3 - 1
FCM
28%
24%
48%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +2 |