Marte CD vs Ural CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
13.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marte CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
EUM
1 - 1
MAR
31%
22%
47%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
MAR
0 - 1
NUM
71%
17%
12%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
CED
1 - 5
MAR
25%
22%
53%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
ASP
1 - 3
MAR
18%
20%
62%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
MAR
1 - 3
SME
44%
24%
33%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ural CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
UEC
1 - 4
VIC
15%
22%
63%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
GAL
4 - 1
UEC
40%
23%
37%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
UEC
3 - 0
VAL
53%
22%
25%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
UEC
0 - 3
CUL
18%
21%
61%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
CCR
2 - 0
UEC
34%
25%
41%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |