Marsouins vs Saint-Pierroise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
55.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsouins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
EXC
2 - 0
MAR
81%
12%
7%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
MAR
0 - 0
ESD
38%
23%
39%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
LOU
0 - 0
MAR
50%
25%
24%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
MAR
1 - 0
PSL
40%
26%
34%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
JEA
2 - 0
MAR
64%
21%
15%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Saint-Pierroise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
PIE
1 - 0
TAM
55%
22%
23%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
PIE
1 - 0
PAU
54%
23%
23%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
EXC
1 - 3
PIE
60%
20%
20%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
PIE
3 - 2
ESD
68%
17%
15%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
LOU
1 - 3
PIE
27%
26%
47%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |