Marsonia vs Vinogradar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
69.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
RUD
4 - 0
MAR
79%
14%
7%
|
24 | 60 | 36 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
VIS
3 - 0
MAR
58%
21%
21%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
MAR
2 - 2
CRO
51%
23%
26%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
GOS
4 - 0
MAR
78%
15%
7%
|
25 | 53 | 28 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 3
VUK
30%
26%
44%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Vinogradar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
VIN
0 - 2
HNG
28%
27%
45%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
MOS
3 - 1
VIN
35%
27%
38%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
VIN
3 - 1
JUN
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
NKC
3 - 2
VIN
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
VIN
3 - 0
NKD
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |