Marske United vs Runcorn Linnets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marske United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
WHI
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
MAR
27%
24%
49%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 1
ASH
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
RAD
2 - 4
MAR
21%
22%
57%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
BAM
2 - 2
MAR
26%
23%
51%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Runcorn Linnets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
RUN
1 - 0
WIT
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
PRE
1 - 0
RUN
22%
23%
55%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
RUN
0 - 0
HAN
54%
23%
23%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
TRA
1 - 2
RUN
20%
23%
56%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
MOS
1 - 0
RUN
20%
22%
58%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -2 |