Marske United vs Atherton Collieries analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
22.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marske United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
PON
1 - 1
MAR
29%
22%
50%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
BEL
2 - 2
MAR
16%
19%
66%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 1
TAD
65%
19%
17%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 1
STA
58%
20%
22%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
WIS
3 - 1
MAR
8%
15%
77%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Atherton Collieries
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2018 |
ATH
4 - 1
PRE
43%
21%
36%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
ATH
1 - 2
MAR
78%
14%
9%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 1
ATH
38%
22%
40%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
ATH
3 - 2
RUN
36%
22%
42%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
KID
0 - 1
ATH
42%
22%
36%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |