Marsaxlokk FC vs Pieta Hotspurs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
9.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
8º
12º
11º
12
11º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsaxlokk FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
HIB
1 - 3
MAR
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BIR
1 - 1
MAR
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
HIB
0 - 1
MAR
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
GUD
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
SLU
0 - 2
MAR
36%
26%
39%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Pieta Hotspurs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
PIE
3 - 1
GUD
22%
24%
54%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SLU
2 - 1
PIE
61%
21%
19%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
PIE
0 - 2
ZEB
36%
24%
40%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
3 - 2
PIE
74%
18%
9%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
PIE
0 - 2
SAN
53%
21%
26%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |