Second Division Malta Normal Season Round 17

Marsaskala vs San Gwann analysis

Marsaskala San Gwann
44 ELO 47
-5.9% Tilt 7.7%
6884º General ELO ranking 3594º
45º Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
35.8%
Marsaskala
23.6%
Draw
40.6%
San Gwann

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
Marsaskala
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
40.5%
Win probability
San Gwann
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Marsaskala
-53%
+23%
San Gwann

Points and table prediction

Marsaskala
Their league position
San Gwann
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
13º
18º
14º
18
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Sliema Wanderers
47
47
100%
Naxxar Lions FC
41
41
100%
Zejtun Corinthians FC
33
33
100%
Tarxien Rainbows
32
32
100%
Zurrieq FC
29
29
100%
Melita
26
26
100%
Fgura United FC
25
25
100%
Marsa FC
24
24
100%
Swieqi United
24
24
100%
Saint Andrews
10º
22
22
10º
100%
Lija
11º
20
20
11º
100%
Attard
12º
19
19
12º
100%
San Gwann
13º
18
18
13º
100%
Marsaskala
14º
15
15
14º
0%
Mqabba FC
15º
15
15
15º
0%
Mtarfa
17º
14
14
16º
100%
Qrendi
16º
14
14
17º
100%
Vittoriosa Stars
18º
10
10
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Marsaskala
San Gwann
Play-offs for the title
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
100% 100%

ELO progression

Marsaskala
San Gwann
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Marsaskala
Marsaskala
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Dec. 2022
MQA
Mqabba FC
3 - 3
Marsaskala
MAR
38%
24%
38%
45 41 4 0
18 Dec. 2022
MAR
Marsaskala
0 - 1
Zejtun Corinthians FC
ZEJ
20%
23%
58%
45 57 12 0
15 Dec. 2022
QRE
Qrendi
2 - 3
Marsaskala
MAR
40%
23%
37%
44 39 5 +1
11 Dec. 2022
MAR
Marsaskala
2 - 2
Marsa FC
MAR
24%
22%
54%
44 50 6 0
04 Dec. 2022
SLI
Sliema Wanderers
5 - 1
Marsaskala
MAR
65%
21%
14%
45 58 13 -1

Matches

San Gwann
San Gwann
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Dec. 2022
SAN
San Gwann
1 - 4
Tarxien Rainbows
TAR
21%
22%
57%
47 56 9 0
17 Dec. 2022
ZUR
Zurrieq FC
3 - 1
San Gwann
SAN
48%
24%
28%
48 51 3 -1
13 Dec. 2022
SAN
San Gwann
2 - 4
Swieqi United
SWI
53%
24%
23%
49 46 3 -1
08 Dec. 2022
LIJ
Lija
1 - 2
San Gwann
SAN
43%
23%
34%
48 47 1 +1
03 Dec. 2022
SAN
San Gwann
1 - 1
Melita
MEL
29%
25%
46%
48 54 6 0