Third Division Malta Normal Season Round 13

Marsaskala vs Ghaxaq analysis

Marsaskala Ghaxaq
44 ELO 24
-3.3% Tilt 4.2%
6884º General ELO ranking 28770º
45º Country ELO ranking 59º
ELO win probability
80.7%
Marsaskala
13%
Draw
6.4%
Ghaxaq

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.7%
Win probability
Marsaskala
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
6.4%
Win probability
Ghaxaq
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Marsaskala
-57%
+12%
Ghaxaq

ELO progression

Marsaskala
Ghaxaq
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Marsaskala
Marsaskala
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jan. 2024
GHA
Gharghur
1 - 0
Marsaskala
MAR
39%
24%
37%
45 43 2 0
17 Jan. 2024
MAR
Marsaskala
0 - 1
Mgarr United FC
MGA
20%
22%
57%
45 54 9 0
14 Jan. 2024
SLI
Sliema Wanderers
3 - 0
Marsaskala
MAR
76%
16%
8%
46 70 24 -1
17 Dec. 2023
SGC
St. Georges FC
0 - 2
Marsaskala
MAR
38%
24%
38%
45 41 4 +1
08 Dec. 2023
SAN
San Gwann
1 - 2
Marsaskala
MAR
58%
22%
20%
44 49 5 +1

Matches

Ghaxaq
Ghaxaq
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Jan. 2024
GHA
Ghaxaq
1 - 6
San Gwann
SAN
8%
15%
77%
26 47 21 0
14 Jan. 2024
VIT
Vittoriosa Stars
4 - 1
Ghaxaq
GHA
84%
11%
5%
26 43 17 0
06 Jan. 2024
GHA
Ghaxaq
1 - 4
Qormi FC
QOR
30%
22%
49%
27 33 6 -1
17 Dec. 2023
KIR
Kirkop United
1 - 0
Ghaxaq
GHA
67%
18%
14%
28 37 9 -1
09 Dec. 2023
GHA
Ghaxaq
1 - 0
Dingli Swallows
DIN
51%
22%
27%
27 26 1 +1