Serie D Girone I round 24

Marsala vs Sapri Calcio analysis

Marsala Sapri Calcio
34 ELO 40
-4.9% Tilt 4%
18630º General ELO ranking 33636º
578º Country ELO ranking 1068º
ELO win probability
32.1%
Marsala
25%
Draw
42.9%
Sapri Calcio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
Marsala
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
42.9%
Win probability
Sapri Calcio
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Marsala
Sapri Calcio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Marsala
Marsala
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Jan. 2011
EBO
Ebolitana
1 - 0
Marsala
MAR
68%
19%
13%
32 46 14 0
16 Jan. 2011
MAR
Marsala
1 - 1
Casertana
CAS
22%
24%
54%
31 47 16 +1
09 Jan. 2011
GSM
GSD Mazara 1946
3 - 4
Marsala
MAR
42%
25%
33%
30 29 1 +1
05 Jan. 2011
MAR
Marsala
1 - 1
FC Rossanese 1909
FCR
50%
24%
26%
30 31 1 0
19 Dec. 2010
MAR
Marsala
1 - 0
Modica
MOD
39%
25%
36%
29 35 6 +1

Matches

Sapri Calcio
Sapri Calcio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Jan. 2011
SPC
Sapri Calcio
0 - 3
Turris Neapolis
TUR
52%
23%
25%
42 40 2 0
16 Jan. 2011
HYR
Nola 1925
1 - 5
Sapri Calcio
SPC
15%
22%
63%
42 17 25 0
09 Jan. 2011
SPC
Sapri Calcio
3 - 1
Noto
NOT
61%
21%
18%
41 36 5 +1
05 Jan. 2011
FOR
Forza e Coraggio
2 - 1
Sapri Calcio
SPC
55%
24%
22%
42 44 2 -1
19 Dec. 2010
VAL
Valle Grecanica
0 - 2
Sapri Calcio
SPC
50%
24%
25%
41 41 0 +1