Marsala vs Noto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
29.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
ACR
3 - 0
MAR
45%
24%
31%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 0
NUV
52%
24%
25%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
CIT
0 - 0
MAR
26%
24%
50%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 1
POL
53%
23%
24%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ACS
2 - 3
MAR
34%
25%
41%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Noto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
NOT
0 - 1
ACP
50%
24%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
ACI
0 - 3
NOT
46%
26%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
NOT
1 - 2
SER
50%
23%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
ASD
1 - 1
NOT
45%
25%
31%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
NOT
1 - 0
VAL
53%
23%
24%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |