Marsala vs Leonfortese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
38.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
ROC
0 - 2
MAR
55%
21%
23%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
MAR
5 - 0
SAR
23%
24%
54%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +4 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
RAA
1 - 0
MAR
69%
18%
13%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
DTO
26%
25%
49%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
GEL
0 - 0
MAR
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Leonfortese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
LEO
0 - 0
REN
41%
27%
32%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
VIG
1 - 1
LEO
31%
24%
45%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
LEO
2 - 1
CAV
27%
25%
49%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ROC
2 - 1
LEO
51%
22%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
LEO
0 - 0
SAR
39%
26%
35%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |