Marsala vs Forza e Coraggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
55.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
VAL
2 - 0
MAR
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 1
MES
23%
25%
52%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
SPC
3 - 0
MAR
62%
20%
18%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 2
EBO
54%
22%
24%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
CAS
3 - 0
MAR
64%
20%
16%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Forza e Coraggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
FOR
4 - 1
TUR
48%
23%
29%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
HYR
2 - 3
FOR
13%
19%
68%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
FOR
2 - 1
NOT
68%
18%
14%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
VAL
2 - 1
FOR
30%
25%
46%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
FOR
3 - 1
MES
31%
26%
43%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +4 |