Marsala vs Cittanova Interpiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
POL
1 - 1
MAR
59%
22%
20%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 2
ACS
34%
26%
40%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
LIC
3 - 0
MAR
69%
18%
13%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 1
BAT
31%
26%
43%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
NUO
2 - 0
MAR
73%
18%
9%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Cittanova Interpiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
CIT
1 - 3
ACP
15%
23%
62%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ASD
6 - 0
CIT
81%
13%
6%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
CIT
1 - 4
SER
17%
22%
61%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ACI
1 - 0
CIT
69%
20%
11%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CIT
0 - 5
ASD
18%
23%
58%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | -2 |