Marsala vs Atl. Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
33.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
ARZ
5 - 0
MAR
60%
22%
18%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
MAR
1 - 2
FIA
29%
27%
45%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
ANC
2 - 0
MAR
87%
10%
3%
|
38 | 68 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
MAR
1 - 1
NOC
32%
28%
40%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
GIU
2 - 0
MAR
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Atl. Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
CAT
1 - 4
GIU
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
BEN
4 - 0
CAT
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
CAT
0 - 1
ARZ
31%
27%
41%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
CAT
2 - 1
VIT
32%
26%
42%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
ANC
2 - 1
CAT
86%
11%
4%
|
44 | 68 | 24 | 0 |