Marsala vs Sancataldese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
27.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
MES
3 - 2
MAR
72%
17%
11%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 0
ROC
32%
26%
42%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ROT
1 - 0
MAR
43%
23%
35%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 2
GEL
27%
22%
51%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ACI
2 - 2
MAR
40%
27%
33%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Sancataldese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
TUR
27%
23%
50%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
BAR
4 - 1
SAN
82%
14%
4%
|
24 | 67 | 43 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 2
CCI
54%
22%
24%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 2
MAR
34%
23%
43%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 1
USV
14%
23%
63%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | -1 |