Mármol Macael vs UD Melilla B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
15.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mármol Macael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1991 |
MOT
1 - 1
MMA
48%
28%
24%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1991 |
MMA
1 - 0
UBE
65%
22%
12%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1991 |
MAR
2 - 0
MMA
52%
26%
23%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1991 |
MMA
0 - 0
RON
65%
22%
13%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1991 |
GUA
1 - 0
MMA
35%
31%
35%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
UD Melilla B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1991 |
UDM
3 - 1
MAR
45%
27%
29%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1991 |
BAE
4 - 1
UDM
49%
25%
25%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 Feb. 1991 |
UDM
4 - 2
RJA
17%
26%
57%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | +4 |
| 27 Jan. 1991 |
VEL
4 - 1
UDM
66%
22%
12%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1991 |
UDM
0 - 2
MAL
34%
28%
38%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |