Mármol Macael vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
39.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mármol Macael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
ILI
3 - 0
MMA
48%
26%
26%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
MMA
3 - 0
GUA
47%
27%
26%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
MIJ
1 - 2
MMA
57%
23%
19%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1987 |
MMA
2 - 2
ZUB
46%
27%
28%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
UDS
0 - 1
MMA
62%
22%
16%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
RJA
3 - 0
VEL
85%
11%
4%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
JUV
1 - 0
RJA
24%
26%
50%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
RJA
1 - 0
MAR
71%
18%
11%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1987 |
COI
2 - 0
RJA
36%
26%
38%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 1987 |
RJA
1 - 1
AMA
47%
24%
29%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +1 |