Mármol Macael vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
27.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mármol Macael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
BEN
1 - 0
MMA
48%
30%
23%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
MMA
2 - 2
ELC
29%
28%
43%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
UTR
0 - 0
MMA
35%
30%
36%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1996 |
MMA
1 - 0
VEL
51%
25%
24%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1996 |
CCF
4 - 0
MMA
73%
18%
9%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
MEL
1 - 0
YEC
41%
29%
30%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
CAD
1 - 0
MEL
61%
23%
16%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
MEL
1 - 1
REC
40%
29%
31%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1996 |
NOV
5 - 2
MEL
32%
32%
36%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1996 |
MEL
1 - 0
POL
41%
29%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |