Mármol Macael vs Adra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
12.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mármol Macael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1992 |
RON
0 - 1
MMA
16%
29%
55%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1992 |
MMA
0 - 1
POL
58%
24%
18%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1992 |
UBE
0 - 0
MMA
34%
29%
38%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1992 |
MMA
4 - 0
BAE
65%
21%
13%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1992 |
UDS
1 - 1
MMA
34%
30%
37%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Adra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1992 |
ADR
2 - 2
POL
35%
28%
37%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1992 |
BAE
1 - 0
ADR
52%
25%
23%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1992 |
ADR
1 - 2
JUV
70%
19%
11%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1992 |
NER
2 - 3
ADR
19%
27%
54%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1992 |
ADR
0 - 0
ILI
38%
28%
34%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |