Marken vs FC Castricum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.7%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.2%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.1%
4.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 3
BRE
23%
22%
56%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
CSW
7 - 1
MAR
61%
20%
20%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
EEM
49%
22%
29%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
VVZ
4 - 2
MAR
70%
16%
13%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 2
DEV
56%
21%
23%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FC Castricum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
CAS
1 - 1
CSW
10%
17%
73%
|
9 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
EEM
3 - 1
CAS
84%
12%
5%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
CAS
1 - 5
VVZ
8%
14%
78%
|
10 | 31 | 21 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
SVL
4 - 1
CAS
85%
11%
5%
|
10 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
CAS
0 - 6
SDV
12%
20%
69%
|
11 | 37 | 26 | -1 |