Durban City vs Bidvest Wits analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
41.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durban City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
FRE
4 - 1
MAR
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
PLS
43%
28%
29%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 3
SWA
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 2
VAS
49%
25%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
PIR
3 - 1
MAR
64%
23%
12%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Bidvest Wits
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
BID
0 - 4
CHI
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
BID
1 - 1
CHI
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
BID
3 - 2
GOL
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
BID
1 - 0
SAN
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
AMA
1 - 1
BID
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |