Bulgaria Third Division Round 38

Maritsa Plovdiv vs Zagorets analysis

Maritsa Plovdiv Zagorets
42 ELO 45
5.6% Tilt 11.2%
5623º General ELO ranking 5893º
47º Country ELO ranking 52º
ELO win probability
52.2%
Maritsa Plovdiv
23.4%
Draw
24.4%
Zagorets

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
Maritsa Plovdiv
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.4%
Win probability
Zagorets
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Maritsa Plovdiv
+29%
+10%
Zagorets

ELO progression

Maritsa Plovdiv
Zagorets
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Maritsa Plovdiv
Maritsa Plovdiv
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 May. 2011
DIM
Dimitrovgrad
2 - 3
Maritsa Plovdiv
MAR
48%
23%
29%
41 41 0 0
22 May. 2011
MAR
Maritsa Plovdiv
8 - 0
Chirpan
FCC
80%
13%
7%
41 24 17 0
18 May. 2011
LEV
Levski Karlovo
0 - 0
Maritsa Plovdiv
MAR
27%
24%
49%
42 35 7 -1
15 May. 2011
MAR
Maritsa Plovdiv
4 - 1
Asenovets
ASE
65%
19%
16%
41 35 6 +1
09 May. 2011
NEF
Neftochimic Burgas
3 - 0
Maritsa Plovdiv
MAR
76%
16%
8%
41 59 18 0

Matches

Zagorets
Zagorets
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 May. 2011
ZAG
Zagorets
3 - 1
Arda Kardzhali
ARK
70%
18%
12%
44 31 13 0
22 May. 2011
SVI
Svilengrad
2 - 3
Zagorets
ZAG
41%
25%
34%
44 36 8 0
18 May. 2011
ZAG
Zagorets
5 - 0
Tundzha Yagoda
TUY
64%
19%
17%
43 33 10 +1
15 May. 2011
GIG
Gigant Saedinenie
0 - 0
Zagorets
ZAG
44%
25%
31%
44 40 4 -1
08 May. 2011
ZAG
Zagorets
6 - 0
Tundzha Yambol
TUN
75%
15%
10%
43 21 22 +1