Bulgaria Third Division South-East Round 5

Maritsa Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv II analysis

Maritsa Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv II
53 ELO 37
5.1% Tilt -5.1%
5651º General ELO ranking 8460º
47º Country ELO ranking 82º
ELO win probability
80.3%
Maritsa Plovdiv
13.2%
Draw
6.4%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.3%
Win probability
Maritsa Plovdiv
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
6.4%
Win probability
Lokomotiv Plovdiv II
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Maritsa Plovdiv
+77%
-38%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv II

Points and table prediction

Maritsa Plovdiv
Their league position
Lokomotiv Plovdiv II
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
3
17º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Maritsa Plovdiv
3
36
27.5%
Spartak Plovdiv
17º
1
35
25.5%
Neftochimic Burgas
4
35
20.5%
Zagorets
4
34
14%
Nesebar
18º
0
28
9.5%
Rakovski 2011
10º
3
28
10.5%
Rozova dolina
14º
2
24
5%
Sozopol
6
24
6%
Gigant Saedinenie
15º
1
23
8.5%
Dimitrovgrad
4
23
10º
7%
Yambol 1915
19º
0
22
11º
10%
Maritsa Milevo
12º
3
22
12º
5%
Atletik Kuklen
3
22
13º
13%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv II
11º
3
21
14º
4.5%
FK Sekirovo
3
21
15º
8.5%
Levski Karlovo
3
21
16º
9%
Rodopa Smolyan
3
21
17º
8%
Asenovets
13º
3
19
18º
9.5%
Sayana Haskovo
16º
1
16
19º
26%
Expected probabilities
Maritsa Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Plovdiv II
Promotion
27.5% 0%
Mid-table
72% 77.5%
Relegation
0.5% 22.5%

ELO progression

Maritsa Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Plovdiv II
Sayana Haskovo
Nesebar
Spartak Plovdiv
Neftochimic Burgas
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Maritsa Plovdiv
Maritsa Plovdiv
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Aug. 2025
MAR
Maritsa Plovdiv
4 - 1
Dimitrovgrad
DIM
73%
17%
10%
52 43 9 0
02 Aug. 2025
MAR
Maritsa Plovdiv
5 - 0
Asenovets
ASE
80%
13%
7%
52 33 19 0
31 May. 2025
SOZ
Sozopol
0 - 4
Maritsa Plovdiv
MAR
15%
22%
63%
51 37 14 +1
24 May. 2025
MAR
Maritsa Plovdiv
6 - 1
Zagorets
ZAG
53%
24%
23%
49 48 1 +2
17 May. 2025
ROZ
Rozova dolina
0 - 2
Maritsa Plovdiv
MAR
33%
26%
41%
48 44 4 +1

Matches

Lokomotiv Plovdiv II
Lokomotiv Plovdiv II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Aug. 2025
ROZ
Rozova dolina
2 - 0
Lokomotiv Plovdiv II
PLP
54%
24%
23%
38 42 4 0
10 Aug. 2025
PLP
Lokomotiv Plovdiv II
0 - 1
Atletik Kuklen
AKU
51%
21%
27%
39 36 3 -1
03 Aug. 2025
GIG
Gigant Saedinenie
1 - 4
Lokomotiv Plovdiv II
PLP
61%
22%
17%
37 45 8 +2
31 May. 2025
PLP
Lokomotiv Plovdiv II
5 - 0
Sayana Haskovo
SAY
41%
22%
38%
35 37 2 +2
23 May. 2025
YAM
Yambol 1915
2 - 1
Lokomotiv Plovdiv II
PLP
67%
18%
14%
34 44 10 +1