Marítimo vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
13.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 1
BOA
52%
26%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
NAV
0 - 4
MAR
6%
13%
81%
|
74 | 39 | 35 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
VST
0 - 1
MAR
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 0
TON
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 0
MAR
49%
24%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
FAM
2 - 0
UNM
43%
26%
30%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
UNM
0 - 1
CHA
35%
26%
39%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
UNM
0 - 1
COV
63%
23%
15%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
POR
0 - 0
UNM
48%
25%
26%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
UNM
0 - 0
FAF
65%
22%
13%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |