Marítimo vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
12.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
5 - 1
MOR
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
SLB
6 - 0
MAR
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 1
EST
45%
26%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2015 |
FCP
1 - 3
MAR
69%
19%
12%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
ARO
4 - 1
MAR
25%
26%
49%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 0
UNM
59%
25%
17%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
UNM
1 - 0
BOA
46%
28%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
ACA
3 - 1
UNM
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
UNM
1 - 0
SCP
13%
21%
67%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2015 |
UNM
0 - 0
SLB
14%
23%
63%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | 0 |