Primeira Liga Round 15

Marítimo vs Sporting CP analysis

Marítimo Sporting CP
65 ELO 88
-19.7% Tilt -1.2%
1059º General ELO ranking 101º
22º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
7.6%
Marítimo
17%
Draw
75.4%
Sporting CP

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.6%
Win probability
Marítimo
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6%
17%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
75.4%
Win probability
Sporting CP
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.9%
0-2
16%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.9%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15.1%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Marítimo
-2%
+14%
Sporting CP

Points and table prediction

Marítimo
Their league position
Sporting CP
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
16º
18º
16º
74
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Benfica
87
87
100%
Porto
85
85
100%
Sporting Braga
78
78
100%
Sporting CP
74
74
100%
Arouca
54
54
100%
Vitória Guimarães
53
53
100%
Chaves
46
46
100%
Famalicão
44
44
0%
Boavista
44
44
0%
Casa Pia AC
10º
41
41
10º
100%
Vizela
11º
40
40
11º
100%
Rio Ave
12º
40
40
12º
100%
Gil Vicente
13º
37
37
13º
100%
Estoril
14º
35
35
14º
100%
Portimonense
15º
34
34
15º
100%
Marítimo
16º
26
26
16º
100%
Paços de Ferreira
17º
23
23
17º
100%
CD Santa Clara
18º
22
22
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Marítimo
Sporting CP
Champions League
0% 0%
Champions League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 100%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Marítimo
Sporting CP
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Marítimo
Marítimo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Dec. 2022
RIO
Rio Ave
1 - 1
Marítimo
MAR
61%
23%
15%
64 76 12 0
13 Dec. 2022
SCP
Sporting CP
5 - 0
Marítimo
MAR
85%
11%
4%
64 89 25 0
07 Dec. 2022
FAR
Farense
2 - 0
Marítimo
MAR
47%
24%
29%
65 67 2 -1
01 Dec. 2022
MAR
Marítimo
0 - 1
Rio Ave
RIO
22%
25%
53%
65 76 11 0
13 Nov. 2022
VIT
Vitória Guimarães
1 - 0
Marítimo
MAR
69%
19%
11%
66 79 13 -1

Matches

Sporting CP
Sporting CP
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Dec. 2022
SCP
Sporting CP
3 - 0
Paços de Ferreira
PAÇ
82%
13%
5%
88 64 24 0
19 Dec. 2022
SCP
Sporting CP
5 - 0
Sporting Braga
SPB
53%
23%
25%
89 86 3 -1
13 Dec. 2022
SCP
Sporting CP
5 - 0
Marítimo
MAR
85%
11%
4%
89 64 25 0
07 Dec. 2022
RIO
Rio Ave
0 - 2
Sporting CP
SCP
11%
19%
70%
89 76 13 0
30 Nov. 2022
SCP
Sporting CP
6 - 0
Farense
FAR
80%
14%
6%
89 67 22 0