Taça da Liga . Jor. 3

Marítimo vs Rio Ave analysis

Marítimo Rio Ave
76 ELO 67
-5.6% Tilt -10%
1368º General ELO ranking 791º
22º Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
67.6%
Marítimo
19.3%
Draw
13.1%
Rio Ave

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
Marítimo
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.1%
Win probability
Rio Ave
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Marítimo
+12%
+10%
Rio Ave

ELO progression

Marítimo
Rio Ave
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Marítimo
Marítimo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jan. 2009
MAR
Marítimo
2 - 1
Paços de Ferreira
PAÇ
55%
24%
22%
76 69 7 0
10 Jan. 2009
SCP
Sporting CP
2 - 0
Marítimo
MAR
70%
19%
11%
76 88 12 0
04 Jan. 2009
MAR
Marítimo
4 - 1
Paços de Ferreira
PAÇ
52%
26%
23%
76 70 6 0
21 Dec. 2008
FCP
Porto
0 - 0
Marítimo
MAR
69%
20%
11%
75 88 13 +1
14 Dec. 2008
SCP
Sporting CP
3 - 0
Marítimo
MAR
71%
19%
10%
76 88 12 -1

Matches

Rio Ave
Rio Ave
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jan. 2009
RIO
Rio Ave
0 - 1
Sporting CP
SCP
22%
26%
52%
66 88 22 0
11 Jan. 2009
RIO
Rio Ave
0 - 1
Os Belenenses
BEL
40%
27%
33%
67 74 7 -1
07 Jan. 2009
PAÇ
Paços de Ferreira
2 - 1
Rio Ave
RIO
54%
24%
22%
68 69 1 -1
03 Jan. 2009
RIO
Rio Ave
2 - 4
Vitória Guimarães
VIT
37%
29%
34%
68 78 10 0
20 Dec. 2008
SPB
Sporting Braga
1 - 0
Rio Ave
RIO
67%
22%
12%
69 81 12 -1
X