Marítimo vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
9.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 0
EST
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2014 |
NAC
3 - 0
MAR
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
MAR
4 - 0
BOA
76%
17%
7%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 2
MAR
15%
22%
63%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
VST
1 - 0
MAR
44%
26%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
OLI
0 - 1
ORI
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ORI
3 - 4
SCP
37%
28%
36%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 1
ORI
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ORI
1 - 1
BRA
50%
27%
23%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ORI
1 - 0
VST
18%
23%
59%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | +1 |