Marítimo vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.9%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
73.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 2
MAR
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
MAR
4 - 0
BOA
30%
29%
41%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
PAÇ
2 - 0
MAR
45%
27%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 3
TON
44%
28%
28%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
GFC
1 - 1
MAR
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
SLB
0 - 0
FAM
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
SCP
0 - 2
SLB
38%
24%
38%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
LIV
3 - 3
SLB
71%
17%
12%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
SLB
3 - 1
BEL
82%
13%
5%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
SLB
1 - 3
LIV
14%
19%
67%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |