Marítimo vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
56.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2008 |
VST
1 - 0
MAR
54%
25%
22%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 1
EST
52%
27%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
BEL
1 - 3
MAR
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2008 |
MAR
0 - 3
FCP
19%
26%
55%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
SCP
2 - 1
MAR
72%
18%
10%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2008 |
GET
1 - 0
SLB
49%
25%
26%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
SLB
2 - 2
UDL
69%
21%
11%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2008 |
SLB
1 - 2
GET
44%
28%
29%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
SCP
1 - 1
SLB
45%
26%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
SLB
2 - 0
MOR
73%
19%
8%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |