Liga Portugal Betclic Round 28

Marítimo vs Académica analysis

Marítimo Académica
77 ELO 73
-4.6% Tilt 3.4%
1042º General ELO ranking 3505º
21º Country ELO ranking 59º
ELO win probability
53%
Marítimo
25.7%
Draw
21.4%
Académica

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
Marítimo
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
21.4%
Win probability
Académica
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Marítimo
-3%
-2%
Académica

ELO progression

Marítimo
Académica
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Marítimo
Marítimo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Apr. 2014
NAC
Nacional
2 - 0
Marítimo
MAR
52%
24%
24%
77 80 3 0
06 Apr. 2014
MAR
Marítimo
1 - 0
Arouca
ARO
59%
24%
18%
77 69 8 0
30 Mar. 2014
GFC
Gil Vicente
1 - 1
Marítimo
MAR
37%
27%
37%
77 72 5 0
22 Mar. 2014
MAR
Marítimo
1 - 3
Sporting CP
SCP
22%
24%
54%
78 87 9 -1
15 Mar. 2014
EST
Estoril
1 - 0
Marítimo
MAR
50%
25%
25%
78 80 2 0

Matches

Académica
Académica
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Apr. 2014
ACA
Académica
1 - 1
Vitória Setúbal
VST
43%
28%
29%
73 73 0 0
06 Apr. 2014
FCP
Porto
3 - 1
Académica
ACA
77%
16%
8%
74 88 14 -1
30 Mar. 2014
ACA
Académica
2 - 1
Olhanense
OLH
56%
26%
19%
73 66 7 +1
23 Mar. 2014
SLB
Benfica
3 - 0
Académica
ACA
80%
14%
6%
74 88 14 -1
14 Mar. 2014
ACA
Académica
1 - 1
Sporting Braga
SPB
20%
25%
55%
73 86 13 +1