Marítimo vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
EST
3 - 1
MAR
28%
27%
45%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 0
NEW
28%
26%
46%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 1
SCP
28%
27%
45%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
GOR
0 - 2
MAR
30%
26%
44%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 0
GFC
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ACA
2 - 2
SLB
15%
23%
61%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2012 |
VKP
3 - 1
ACA
69%
18%
13%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
SPC
2 - 0
ACA
20%
23%
57%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
RIO
0 - 0
ACA
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
ACA
1 - 1
OLH
45%
28%
28%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |