Campeonato de Portugal Group B Round 14

Marítimo II vs Valadares Gaia analysis

Marítimo II Valadares Gaia
46 ELO 46
-6.3% Tilt -1.4%
8136º General ELO ranking 25672º
190º Country ELO ranking 570º
ELO win probability
41.1%
Marítimo II
25.8%
Draw
33.1%
Valadares Gaia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
Marítimo II
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
33.1%
Win probability
Valadares Gaia
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Marítimo II
-66%
-6%
Valadares Gaia

Points and table prediction

Marítimo II
Their league position
Valadares Gaia
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
13º
39
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Lusitania FC
49
52
35%
SC Salgueiros
49
52
16.5%
Rebordosa
48
51
59%
Beira Mar SC
47
48
77.5%
Marítimo II
43
44
100%
Valadares Gaia
39
42
93%
Gondomar
38
38
93%
Leça FC
30
33
71.5%
Camacha
31
32
71.5%
Machico
11º
25
29
10º
67%
Alpendorada
10º
29
29
11º
67%
Castro Daire
12º
20
20
12º
84%
Resende
13º
17
17
13º
84%
Guarda Desportiva
14º
10
11
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Marítimo II
Valadares Gaia
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
100% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%

ELO progression

Marítimo II
Valadares Gaia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Marítimo II
Marítimo II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jan. 2023
MAR
Marítimo II
2 - 0
Camacha
CAM
61%
22%
17%
44 39 5 0
18 Dec. 2022
MAC
Machico
0 - 2
Marítimo II
MAR
10%
15%
75%
44 24 20 0
11 Dec. 2022
MAR
Marítimo II
3 - 0
Leça FC
LEC
35%
26%
39%
41 46 5 +3
04 Dec. 2022
CAS
Castro Daire
0 - 1
Marítimo II
MAR
36%
27%
37%
40 39 1 +1
27 Nov. 2022
MAR
Marítimo II
0 - 0
Beira Mar SC
BMA
35%
26%
40%
40 44 4 0

Matches

Valadares Gaia
Valadares Gaia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jan. 2023
GUA
Guarda Desportiva
0 - 3
Valadares Gaia
VAL
18%
23%
60%
46 31 15 0
18 Dec. 2022
VAL
Valadares Gaia
2 - 0
Lusitania FC
LUS
54%
26%
20%
45 41 4 +1
11 Dec. 2022
GON
Gondomar
2 - 2
Valadares Gaia
VAL
53%
24%
24%
45 47 2 0
04 Dec. 2022
VAL
Valadares Gaia
0 - 1
SC Salgueiros
SAL
36%
26%
38%
46 48 2 -1
27 Nov. 2022
REB
Rebordosa
1 - 0
Valadares Gaia
VAL
20%
24%
57%
47 35 12 -1