Marítimo II vs Valadares Gaia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
33.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
3º
13º
5º
39
4º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 0
CAM
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
MAC
0 - 2
MAR
10%
15%
75%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 0
LEC
35%
26%
39%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +3 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 1
MAR
36%
27%
37%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
BMA
35%
26%
40%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Valadares Gaia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 3
VAL
18%
23%
60%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
VAL
2 - 0
LUS
54%
26%
20%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
GON
2 - 2
VAL
53%
24%
24%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
VAL
0 - 1
SAL
36%
26%
38%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
REB
1 - 0
VAL
20%
24%
57%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | -1 |